Milton Friedman once paraphrased Ronald Reagan describing tariffs as shooting a hole in a boat with a group of friends. If your friends start shooting holes in the boat, the best way to stop them isn’t to start shooting holes too. That just causes more damage to the boat harming both your friends and you.
In general, I like most, believe tariffs are harmful. Here I tell why, while also giving the case for why they can also help. In other words, “the good, the bad, and the ugly.”
The Deficit
I’m a libertarian. There are different types. From the least government anarcho-capitalist to the more, but still limited, classical liberal. I consider my position as in between. I’m a minarchist, more or less. In other words, I believe some form of limited government can be beneficial.
If there should be government, then there needs to be a way to fund it. We refer to that as taxes. Many libertarians, especially anarcho-capitalists, like to say “Taxation is theft”. That should be qualified. “All taxation is theft” might be appropriate for an anarcho-capitalist. For a minarchist, or at least my definition, “some taxation is theft” would be a better qualified statement. Which taxation? As a starting point, only taxation that’s authorized. For example, with regards to the US Federal government, that would mean by the US Constitution.
The Good
Of course, much theft is currently occurring there, but “the good” of a tariff is more about the hidden taxation. The deficit. For 2024, the US Government had a deficit of roughly $1.8 trillion. It’s an immorality that our government borrows on the credit of future generations to fund current spending. As of August 2024, we’ve already accumulated over $35 trillion.
While I’d love to see spending cut, until then, the government should collect sufficient revenue. Therefore, increased revenue is welcomed.
I spent a lot of time debating the Fair Tax. One concept that came up a lot was “embedded taxes”. Basically meaning that all goods and services produced in the US had income taxes embedded in their cost. It was a selling point of the Fair Tax. Many nations are able to remove those from exports and place additional taxes on imports via a Value-Added Tax. The US doesn’t currently employ a VAT, so tariffs are the next best things to even the advantage between domestically produced goods and those of foreign origin.
The Bad
Even taking into account the good above, using tariffs to remove the deficit is a heavy lift. In 2024, the US collected roughly $77 billion from tariffs. Remember, that’s needed to address an $1,800 billion deficit.
Tariffs, of course, also raise prices on foreign goods. That is bad for those purchasing the goods. It’s also bad for the producers.
It’s not just consumers that suffer. Many US producers use foreign imports for their products. This will also raise the prices of domestically produced goods. Goods are consumed domestically, as well as being exported.
The Ugly
Finally, the worst thing about tariffs? Central planning. The vast majority of government’s using tariffs has been to change the behavior of societal segments. Sometimes it’s foreign governments. So they’ll lower their tariffs. Sometimes to address other things. Like fight fentanyl.
And to get domestic consumers to buy domestically. But this always boils down to raising the price of goods. As the Irish found out, it can be devasting. Not the first time central planning has led to mass starvation.
Bottom Line
Governments need to be funded. Tariffs are one source. Maybe raising them to address other governmental issues if beneficial. Maybe even using them in lieu of other government revenue sources is desired. But they shouldn’t be used as political weapons to pick winners and losers in the economy. In the end, we all become the losers.